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Saturday, November 2, 2024

2018 election preview: Number of competitive districts up over four years ago

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The number of competitive Illinois state legislative races in the Nov. 6 midterm elections will be 18 more than the number four years ago as more major-party candidates go head-to-head in districts across the state.

The number of state Senate and House districts pitting Democrats against Republicans is 85 this year, compared to just 57 in 2014. In every one of the 13 legislative races in 2014 where the winners and losers were separated by 3,000 votes or less, competitive contests appear to be in the offing this year.

For example, Mike Smiddy, a Democrat, eked out a 314-vote victory over rival Republican Jim Wozniak in the 71st state House District during the 2014 midterm election, one of the 13 Illinois legislative races that came down to the wire.

Smiddy received 50.5 percent of the 34,780 votes cast, while Wozniak garnered 49.5 percent.

Of the other House seats on the ballot in 2014, 68 had only one major-party candidate running. In each of the remaining 38 House seats, one of the two major-party candidates won handily.

Nineteen state Senate races were on the ballot four years ago, with just seven pitting major-party candidates and only the 57th District turning into a nip-and-tuck race.

2014 71st House District results

CountyVotes for Jim Wozniak (R)Votes for Mike Smiddy (D)Votes Cast Countywide
Carroll8728221,694
Whiteside8,1348,50716,641
Rock Island6,7276,70413,431
Henry1,5001,5143,014
Totals17,23317,54734,780

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